Jaylen Warren vs Rhamondre Stevenson
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.3 projected points (9.2 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaylen Warren faces IND, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Rhamondre Stevenson faces LV, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaylen Warren: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (17.5 vs 6.0).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Rhamondre Stevenson first (ADP 60.4 vs 63.1). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Rhamondre StevensonNWE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | LV | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.2 | 8.9 | Warren +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #6 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 154.1 | 142.5 | Warren +11.5 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 8.4 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 17.5 | 6.0 | Warren +11.5 |
| Overall rank | #56 | #65 | Warren by 9 |
| Position rank | RB25 | RB28 | |
| Market ADP | 63.1 | 60.4 | Warren +2.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 11 |
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.3 projected points (9.2 vs 8.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Rhamondre Stevenson in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 154.1 fantasy points with 17.5 value over replacement, vs 142.5 points and 6.0 for Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, PPR).