Jaylen Warren vs Bhayshul Tuten
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.1 projected points (9.2 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jaylen Warren faces IND, the 16th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Bhayshul Tuten faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 2.9 points of value over replacement (17.5 vs 14.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Bhayshul Tuten first (ADP 53.1 vs 63.1). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Bhayshul TutenJAX | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | IND | PHI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 9.2 | 9.1 | Warren +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #16 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 154.1 | 151.2 | Warren +2.9 pts |
| Points per game | 9.1 | 8.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 17.5 | 14.6 | Warren +2.9 |
| Overall rank | #56 | #59 | Warren by 3 |
| Position rank | RB25 | RB26 | |
| Market ADP | 63.1 | 53.1 | Warren +10.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 7 |
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Bhayshul Tuten in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jaylen Warren by 0.1 projected points (9.2 vs 9.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Bhayshul Tuten in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 154.1 fantasy points with 17.5 value over replacement, vs 151.2 points and 14.6 for Bhayshul Tuten (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.