Jordan Addison vs Jayden Reed
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Addison by 0.9 projected points (9.3 vs 8.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jordan Addison faces TB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jayden Reed faces ATL, the 14th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Addison by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-32.7 vs -36.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jayden Reed first (ADP 88.4 vs 96.5). If the model is right, Jordan Addison is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Jayden Reed carries an injury flag of Out (Neck), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jordan AddisonMIN | Jayden ReedGNB | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | ATL | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.3 | 8.4 | Addison +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 144.5 | 141.1 | Addison +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 8.5 | 8.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -32.7 | -36.1 | Addison +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #106 | #110 | Addison by 4 |
| Position rank | WR44 | WR46 | |
| Market ADP | 96.5 | 88.4 | Addison +8.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 8 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Jordan Addison or Jayden Reed in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Addison by 0.9 projected points (9.3 vs 8.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jordan Addison or Jayden Reed in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Addison. He projects 144.5 fantasy points with -32.7 value over replacement, vs 141.1 points and -36.1 for Jayden Reed (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.