Jordan Addison vs Deebo Samuel
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Jordan Addison this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (9.3 vs 7.7).
Jordan Addison faces TB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Deebo Samuel faces SEA, the 25th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jordan Addison: a clear but modest edge of 5.2 points of value over replacement (-32.7 vs -37.9).
The draft market agrees: Jordan Addison goes first at ADP 96.5 vs 115.4 for Deebo Samuel.
| Jordan AddisonMIN | Deebo SamuelWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | TB | SEA | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 9.3 | 7.7 | Addison +1.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #5 | #25 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 144.5 | 139.4 | Addison +5.2 pts |
| Points per game | 8.5 | 8.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -32.7 | -37.9 | Addison +5.2 |
| Overall rank | #106 | #112 | Addison by 6 |
| Position rank | WR44 | WR47 | |
| Market ADP | 96.5 | 115.4 | Samuel +18.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 7 |
Should I start Jordan Addison or Deebo Samuel in Week 3?
Start Jordan Addison this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.7 projected points (9.3 vs 7.7).
Should I draft Jordan Addison or Deebo Samuel in 2026 fantasy football?
Jordan Addison. He projects 144.5 fantasy points with -32.7 value over replacement, vs 139.4 points and -37.9 for Deebo Samuel (WR, PPR).