Terry McLaurin vs Jameson Williams
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jameson Williams by 0.4 projected points (13.0 vs 12.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jameson Williams faces ARI, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Terry McLaurin faces NYG, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Terry McLaurin ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Terry McLaurin: a clear but modest edge of 9.6 points of value over replacement (21.3 vs 11.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jameson Williams first (ADP 45.4 vs 48.1). If the model is right, Terry McLaurin is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Terry McLaurin carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Terry McLaurinWAS | Jameson WilliamsDET | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | NYG | ARI | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 12.6 | 13.0 | Williams +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #8 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 201.6 | 192.0 | McLaurin +9.6 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 11.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 21.3 | 11.7 | McLaurin +9.6 |
| Overall rank | #53 | #63 | McLaurin by 10 |
| Position rank | WR20 | WR23 | |
| Market ADP | 48.1 | 45.4 | McLaurin +2.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 6 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Terry McLaurin or Jameson Williams in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jameson Williams by 0.4 projected points (13.0 vs 12.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terry McLaurin or Jameson Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Terry McLaurin. He projects 201.6 fantasy points with 21.3 value over replacement, vs 192.0 points and 11.7 for Jameson Williams (WR, PPR).