Terry McLaurin vs Davante Adams
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.7 projected points (12.0 vs 11.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Terry McLaurin faces IND, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Davante Adams faces PHI, the 19th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Terry McLaurin: a clear but modest edge of 6.7 points of value over replacement (21.3 vs 14.6).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Davante Adams first (ADP 41.2 vs 48.1). If the model is right, Terry McLaurin is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Terry McLaurin carries an injury flag of Out (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Terry McLaurinWAS | Davante AdamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | IND | PHI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 12.0 | 11.3 | McLaurin +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 201.6 | 194.9 | McLaurin +6.7 pts |
| Points per game | 11.9 | 11.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 21.3 | 14.6 | McLaurin +6.7 |
| Overall rank | #51 | #59 | McLaurin by 8 |
| Position rank | WR18 | WR21 | |
| Market ADP | 48.1 | 41.2 | McLaurin +6.9 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 4 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Terry McLaurin or Davante Adams in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Terry McLaurin by 0.7 projected points (12.0 vs 11.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Terry McLaurin or Davante Adams in 2026 fantasy football?
Terry McLaurin. He projects 201.6 fantasy points with 21.3 value over replacement, vs 194.9 points and 14.6 for Davante Adams (WR, PPR).