Garrett Wilson vs Davante Adams
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Davante Adams by 0.1 projected points (11.0 vs 10.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Davante Adams faces DEN, the 20th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Garrett Wilson faces DET, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Garrett Wilson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Garrett Wilson by 4.9 points of value over replacement (18.5 vs 13.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Garrett Wilson goes first at ADP 26.8 vs 41.2 for Davante Adams.
| Garrett WilsonNYJ | Davante AdamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | DET | DEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 10.9 | 11.0 | Adams +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #24 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 197.0 | 192.1 | Wilson +4.9 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 11.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 18.5 | 13.6 | Wilson +4.9 |
| Overall rank | #54 | #61 | Wilson by 7 |
| Position rank | WR19 | WR22 | |
| Market ADP | 26.8 | 41.2 | Adams +14.4 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I start Garrett Wilson or Davante Adams in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Davante Adams by 0.1 projected points (11.0 vs 10.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Garrett Wilson or Davante Adams in 2026 fantasy football?
Garrett Wilson. He projects 197.0 fantasy points with 18.5 value over replacement, vs 192.1 points and 13.6 for Davante Adams (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.