Oronde Gadsden II vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jake Ferguson by 0.6 projected points (6.4 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jake Ferguson faces SF, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Oronde Gadsden II faces BAL, the 18th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Oronde Gadsden II ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Oronde Gadsden II by 2.6 points of value over replacement (-77.4 vs -80.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Jake Ferguson carries an injury flag of Out (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Oronde Gadsden IILAC | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | BAL | SF | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 5.8 | 6.4 | Ferguson +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #18 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 99.7 | 97.1 | II +2.6 pts |
| Points per game | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -77.4 | -80.0 | II +2.6 |
| Overall rank | #162 | #164 | II by 2 |
| Position rank | TE30 | TE32 | |
| Market ADP | - | 137.4 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 14 | |
| Injury flag | None | Out |
Should I start Oronde Gadsden II or Jake Ferguson in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jake Ferguson by 0.6 projected points (6.4 vs 5.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Oronde Gadsden II or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Oronde Gadsden II. He projects 99.7 fantasy points with -77.4 value over replacement, vs 97.1 points and -80.0 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.