Jake Ferguson vs Noah Fant
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (6.4 vs 5.2).
Jake Ferguson faces SF, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Noah Fant faces CAR, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jake Ferguson: a clear but modest edge of 8.6 points of value over replacement (-80.0 vs -88.7).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Jake Ferguson carries an injury flag of Out (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jake FergusonDAL | Noah FantNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | SF | CAR | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 6.4 | 5.2 | Ferguson +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #2 | #17 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 97.1 | 88.5 | Ferguson +8.6 pts |
| Points per game | 5.7 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -80.0 | -88.7 | Ferguson +8.6 |
| Overall rank | #164 | #177 | Ferguson by 13 |
| Position rank | TE32 | TE34 | |
| Market ADP | 137.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | - | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Jake Ferguson or Noah Fant in Week 10?
Start Jake Ferguson this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (6.4 vs 5.2).
Should I draft Jake Ferguson or Noah Fant in 2026 fantasy football?
Jake Ferguson. He projects 97.1 fantasy points with -80.0 value over replacement, vs 88.5 points and -88.7 for Noah Fant (TE, PPR).