Evan Engram vs Terrance Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Evan Engram by 0.6 projected points (5.9 vs 5.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Evan Engram faces ARI, the 17th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Terrance Ferguson faces LV, the 14th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Evan Engram: a clear but modest edge of 10.4 points of value over replacement (-93.2 vs -103.6).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Terrance Ferguson carries an injury flag of IR (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Evan EngramDEN | Terrance FergusonLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | ARI | LV | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 5.9 | 5.3 | Engram +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #14 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 99.1 | 88.7 | Engram +10.4 pts |
| Points per game | 5.8 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -93.2 | -103.6 | Engram +10.4 |
| Overall rank | #183 | #190 | Engram by 7 |
| Position rank | TE34 | TE35 | |
| Market ADP | - | 167.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Evan Engram or Terrance Ferguson in Week 7?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Evan Engram by 0.6 projected points (5.9 vs 5.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Evan Engram or Terrance Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Evan Engram. He projects 99.1 fantasy points with -93.2 value over replacement, vs 88.7 points and -103.6 for Terrance Ferguson (TE, PPR).