Dylan Sampson vs Zach Charbonnet
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Charbonnet by 0.4 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Zach Charbonnet faces LV, the 10th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Dylan Sampson faces HOU, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Dylan Sampson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Dylan Sampson by 4.2 points of value over replacement (-58.8 vs -63.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Zach Charbonnet first (ADP 145.8 vs 159.6). If the model is right, Dylan Sampson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Dylan SampsonCLE | Zach CharbonnetSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | HOU | LV | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.8 | 5.1 | Charbonnet +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 87.8 | 83.6 | Sampson +4.2 pts |
| Points per game | 5.2 | 4.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.8 | -63.1 | Sampson +4.2 |
| Overall rank | #138 | #145 | Sampson by 7 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB49 | |
| Market ADP | 159.6 | 145.8 | Sampson +13.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 11 |
Should I start Dylan Sampson or Zach Charbonnet in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Charbonnet by 0.4 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dylan Sampson or Zach Charbonnet in 2026 fantasy football?
Dylan Sampson. He projects 87.8 fantasy points with -58.8 value over replacement, vs 83.6 points and -63.1 for Zach Charbonnet (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.