Dylan Sampson vs Jordan Mason
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.3 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Jordan Mason faces GB, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Dylan Sampson faces HOU, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Dylan Sampson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Dylan Sampson by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-58.8 vs -58.9), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Jordan Mason first (ADP 111.6 vs 159.6). If the model is right, Dylan Sampson is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Dylan SampsonCLE | Jordan MasonMIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | HOU | GB | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.8 | 5.1 | Mason +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #24 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 87.8 | 87.8 | Sampson +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 5.2 | 5.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -58.8 | -58.9 | Sampson +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #138 | #139 | Sampson by 1 |
| Position rank | RB47 | RB48 | |
| Market ADP | 159.6 | 111.6 | Sampson +48.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 6 |
Should I start Dylan Sampson or Jordan Mason in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Jordan Mason by 0.3 projected points (5.1 vs 4.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Dylan Sampson or Jordan Mason in 2026 fantasy football?
Dylan Sampson. He projects 87.8 fantasy points with -58.8 value over replacement, vs 87.8 points and -58.9 for Jordan Mason (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.