Ray Davis vs Devin Neal
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.2 projected points (2.8 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ray Davis faces NE, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Devin Neal faces ATL, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.1 points of value over replacement (-91.8 vs -92.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Ray DavisBUF | Devin NealNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NE | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.8 | 2.6 | Davis +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #9 | #20 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 44.7 | 44.6 | Davis +0.1 pts |
| Points per game | 2.6 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -91.8 | -92.0 | Davis +0.1 |
| Overall rank | #178 | #180 | Davis by 2 |
| Position rank | RB63 | RB65 | |
| Market ADP | 177.1 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 15 | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 8 |
Should I start Ray Davis or Devin Neal in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.2 projected points (2.8 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ray Davis or Devin Neal in 2026 fantasy football?
Ray Davis. He projects 44.7 fantasy points with -91.8 value over replacement, vs 44.6 points and -92.0 for Devin Neal (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.