Devin Neal vs Nick Chubb
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Devin Neal by 0.0 projected points (2.6 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Devin Neal faces ATL, the 20th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Nick Chubb faces DAL, the 18th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Devin Neal by 1.4 points of value over replacement (-92.0 vs -93.3), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Devin NealNOR | Nick ChubbHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ATL | DAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.6 | 2.5 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #20 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 44.6 | 43.2 | Neal +1.4 pts |
| Points per game | 2.6 | 2.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -92.0 | -93.3 | Neal +1.4 |
| Overall rank | #180 | #186 | Neal by 6 |
| Position rank | RB65 | RB68 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Devin Neal or Nick Chubb in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Devin Neal by 0.0 projected points (2.6 vs 2.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Devin Neal or Nick Chubb in 2026 fantasy football?
Devin Neal. He projects 44.6 fantasy points with -92.0 value over replacement, vs 43.2 points and -93.3 for Nick Chubb (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.