Head to head · RB · 2026
Derrick Henry vs Josh Jacobs
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Derrick Henry
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Derrick Henry by 4.5 points of value over replacement (73.6 vs 69.1) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Derrick Henry goes first at ADP 15.2 vs 28.5 for Josh Jacobs.
| Derrick Henry | Josh Jacobs | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | BAL | GNB |
| Overall rank | #19 | #22 |
| Position rank | RB13 | RB14 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 205.7 | 201.2 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 73.6 | 69.1 |
| Market ADP | 15.2 | 28.5 |
Should I draft Derrick Henry or Josh Jacobs in 2026 fantasy football?
Derrick Henry. He projects 205.7 fantasy points with 73.6 value over replacement, vs 201.2 points and 69.1 for Josh Jacobs (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.