De'Von Achane vs Derrick Henry
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Derrick Henry this week, and it isn't close: 3.8 projected points separate them (16.0 vs 12.3).
Derrick Henry faces DAL, the 1st-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. De'Von Achane faces KC, the 32nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks De'Von Achane ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes De'Von Achane: a clear but modest edge of 6.9 points of value over replacement (108.9 vs 102.0).
The draft market agrees: De'Von Achane goes first at ADP 9.7 vs 15.5 for Derrick Henry.
| De'Von AchaneMIA | Derrick HenryBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | KC | DAL | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 12.3 | 16.0 | Henry +3.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #32 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 245.4 | 238.6 | Achane +6.9 pts |
| Points per game | 14.4 | 14.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 108.9 | 102.0 | Achane +6.9 |
| Overall rank | #11 | #13 | Achane by 2 |
| Position rank | RB7 | RB8 | |
| Market ADP | 9.7 | 15.5 | Henry +5.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 6 | 13 |
Should I start De'Von Achane or Derrick Henry in Week 3?
Start Derrick Henry this week, and it isn't close: 3.8 projected points separate them (16.0 vs 12.3).
Should I draft De'Von Achane or Derrick Henry in 2026 fantasy football?
De'Von Achane. He projects 245.4 fantasy points with 108.9 value over replacement, vs 238.6 points and 102.0 for Derrick Henry (RB, PPR).