Zach Ertz vs David Njoku
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Ertz by 0.9 projected points (6.9 vs 6.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Zach Ertz faces IND, the 12th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. David Njoku faces SEA, the 21st-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Zach Ertz: a clear but modest edge of 11.4 points of value over replacement (-81.9 vs -93.3).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: David Njoku carries an injury flag of IR (Lower Leg), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Zach ErtzWAS | David NjokuLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | IND | SEA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 6.9 | 6.0 | Ertz +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #21 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 115.7 | 104.3 | Ertz +11.4 pts |
| Points per game | 6.8 | 6.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -81.9 | -93.3 | Ertz +11.4 |
| Overall rank | #171 | #194 | Ertz by 23 |
| Position rank | TE30 | TE33 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 7 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Zach Ertz or David Njoku in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Zach Ertz by 0.9 projected points (6.9 vs 6.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Zach Ertz or David Njoku in 2026 fantasy football?
Zach Ertz. He projects 115.7 fantasy points with -81.9 value over replacement, vs 104.3 points and -93.3 for David Njoku (TE, PPR).