David Montgomery vs Saquon Barkley
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start David Montgomery this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (9.5 vs 7.7).
David Montgomery faces NYG, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Saquon Barkley faces DAL, the 24th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes David Montgomery: a clear but modest edge of 9.0 points of value over replacement (-12.4 vs -21.4).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Saquon Barkley first (ADP 18.3 vs 52.0). If the model is right, David Montgomery is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Questionable (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: Saquon Barkley carries an injury flag of Questionable (Hamstring), which is already reflected in his projection.
| David MontgomeryHOU | Saquon BarkleyPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | NYG | DAL | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 9.5 | 7.7 | Montgomery +1.8 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #2 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 146.6 | 137.6 | Montgomery +9.0 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.4 | -21.4 | Montgomery +9.0 |
| Overall rank | #84 | #95 | Montgomery by 11 |
| Position rank | RB34 | RB37 | |
| Market ADP | 52.0 | 18.3 | Montgomery +33.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 5 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Questionable |
Should I start David Montgomery or Saquon Barkley in Week 7?
Start David Montgomery this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.8 projected points (9.5 vs 7.7).
Should I draft David Montgomery or Saquon Barkley in 2026 fantasy football?
David Montgomery. He projects 146.6 fantasy points with -12.4 value over replacement, vs 137.6 points and -21.4 for Saquon Barkley (RB, PPR).