Chris Olave vs DeVonta Smith
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Chris Olave this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (13.7 vs 12.5).
Chris Olave faces LV, the 13th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. DeVonta Smith faces CHI, the 18th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Olave, and it isn't close: 16.5 points of value over replacement separate them (52.2 vs 35.7).
The draft market agrees: Chris Olave goes first at ADP 19.9 vs 29.1 for DeVonta Smith.
| Chris OlaveNOR | DeVonta SmithPHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LV | CHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 13.7 | 12.5 | Olave +1.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #18 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 229.4 | 212.9 | Olave +16.5 pts |
| Points per game | 13.5 | 12.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 52.2 | 35.7 | Olave +16.5 |
| Overall rank | #34 | #43 | Olave by 9 |
| Position rank | WR11 | WR14 | |
| Market ADP | 19.9 | 29.1 | Smith +9.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 10 |
Should I start Chris Olave or DeVonta Smith in Week 3?
Start Chris Olave this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.2 projected points (13.7 vs 12.5).
Should I draft Chris Olave or DeVonta Smith in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Olave. He projects 229.4 fantasy points with 52.2 value over replacement, vs 212.9 points and 35.7 for DeVonta Smith (WR, PPR).