Makai Lemon vs Chris Godwin
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Makai Lemon this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (8.2 vs 7.2).
Makai Lemon faces LA, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Chris Godwin faces GB, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Makai Lemon: a clear but modest edge of 10.3 points of value over replacement (-30.4 vs -40.7).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chris Godwin first (ADP 77.4 vs 131.2). If the model is right, Makai Lemon is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Makai LemonPHI | Chris GodwinTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LA | GB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 8.2 | 7.2 | Lemon +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 148.0 | 137.7 | Lemon +10.3 pts |
| Points per game | 8.7 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -30.4 | -40.7 | Lemon +10.3 |
| Overall rank | #105 | #114 | Lemon by 9 |
| Position rank | WR44 | WR47 | |
| Market ADP | 131.2 | 77.4 | Lemon +53.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 11 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 10 |
Should I start Makai Lemon or Chris Godwin in Week 4?
Start Makai Lemon this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (8.2 vs 7.2).
Should I draft Makai Lemon or Chris Godwin in 2026 fantasy football?
Makai Lemon. He projects 148.0 fantasy points with -30.4 value over replacement, vs 137.7 points and -40.7 for Chris Godwin (WR, PPR).