Jaylen Warren vs Chase Brown
Who should you start in Week 7? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 7
Start Jaylen Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (15.9 vs 14.8).
Jaylen Warren faces NO, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Chase Brown faces BAL, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Jaylen Warren, and it isn't close: 38.7 points of value over replacement separate them (108.8 vs 70.1).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chase Brown first (ADP 13.1 vs 63.1). If the model is right, Jaylen Warren is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Chase BrownCIN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 opponent | NO | BAL | |
| Projected Week 7 points | 15.9 | 14.8 | Warren +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #13 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 267.8 | 229.0 | Warren +38.7 pts |
| Points per game | 15.8 | 13.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 108.8 | 70.1 | Warren +38.7 |
| Overall rank | #14 | #21 | Warren by 7 |
| Position rank | RB12 | RB15 | |
| Market ADP | 63.1 | 13.1 | Warren +50.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 6 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 6 |
Should I start Jaylen Warren or Chase Brown in Week 7?
Start Jaylen Warren this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (15.9 vs 14.8).
Should I draft Jaylen Warren or Chase Brown in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Warren. He projects 267.8 fantasy points with 108.8 value over replacement, vs 229.0 points and 70.1 for Chase Brown (RB, PPR).