CeeDee Lamb vs Chris Olave
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Olave by 0.4 projected points (14.6 vs 14.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Olave faces ATL, the 8th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. CeeDee Lamb faces HOU, the 23rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks CeeDee Lamb ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes CeeDee Lamb, and it isn't close: 19.5 points of value over replacement separate them (68.6 vs 49.1).
The draft market agrees: CeeDee Lamb goes first at ADP 10.4 vs 19.9 for Chris Olave.
| CeeDee LambDAL | Chris OlaveNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | HOU | ATL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 14.2 | 14.6 | Olave +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #23 | #8 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 248.9 | 229.4 | Lamb +19.5 pts |
| Points per game | 14.6 | 13.5 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 68.6 | 49.1 | Lamb +19.5 |
| Overall rank | #26 | #35 | Lamb by 9 |
| Position rank | WR8 | WR11 | |
| Market ADP | 10.4 | 19.9 | Olave +9.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 1 | Rd 2 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 8 |
Should I start CeeDee Lamb or Chris Olave in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Olave by 0.4 projected points (14.6 vs 14.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft CeeDee Lamb or Chris Olave in 2026 fantasy football?
CeeDee Lamb. He projects 248.9 fantasy points with 68.6 value over replacement, vs 229.4 points and 49.1 for Chris Olave (WR, PPR).