Audric Estime vs Ray Davis
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.2 projected points (2.7 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ray Davis faces LA, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Audric Estime faces MIN, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Audric Estime ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Audric Estime by 1.6 points of value over replacement (-90.2 vs -91.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Audric EstimeNOR | Ray DavisBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | MIN | LA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 2.6 | 2.7 | Davis +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 30) | #28 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 46.3 | 44.7 | Estime +1.6 pts |
| Points per game | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -90.2 | -91.8 | Estime +1.6 |
| Overall rank | #169 | #174 | Estime by 5 |
| Position rank | RB57 | RB60 | |
| Market ADP | - | 177.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 |
Should I start Audric Estime or Ray Davis in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.2 projected points (2.7 vs 2.6), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Audric Estime or Ray Davis in 2026 fantasy football?
Audric Estime. He projects 46.3 fantasy points with -90.2 value over replacement, vs 44.7 points and -91.8 for Ray Davis (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.