Ashton Jeanty vs Breece Hall
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ashton Jeanty by 0.9 projected points (11.9 vs 11.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ashton Jeanty faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Breece Hall faces DET, the 28th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ashton Jeanty, and it isn't close: 16.6 points of value over replacement separate them (82.5 vs 65.9).
The draft market agrees: Ashton Jeanty goes first at ADP 21.0 vs 30.5 for Breece Hall.
| Ashton JeantyLVR | Breece HallNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NO | DET | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.9 | 11.0 | Jeanty +0.9 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #26 | #28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 219.0 | 202.4 | Jeanty +16.6 pts |
| Points per game | 12.9 | 11.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 82.5 | 65.9 | Jeanty +16.6 |
| Overall rank | #20 | #26 | Jeanty by 6 |
| Position rank | RB12 | RB15 | |
| Market ADP | 21.0 | 30.5 | Hall +9.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 13 |
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Breece Hall in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ashton Jeanty by 0.9 projected points (11.9 vs 11.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Breece Hall in 2026 fantasy football?
Ashton Jeanty. He projects 219.0 fantasy points with 82.5 value over replacement, vs 202.4 points and 65.9 for Breece Hall (RB, PPR).