Ashton Jeanty vs Kyren Williams
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ashton Jeanty by 0.1 projected points (11.9 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ashton Jeanty faces NO, the 26th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Kyren Williams faces DEN, the 19th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Ashton Jeanty: a clear but modest edge of 11.9 points of value over replacement (82.5 vs 70.5).
The draft market agrees: Ashton Jeanty goes first at ADP 21.0 vs 31.8 for Kyren Williams.
| Ashton JeantyLVR | Kyren WilliamsLAR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | NO | DEN | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.9 | 11.8 | Jeanty +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #26 | #19 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 219.0 | 207.1 | Jeanty +11.9 pts |
| Points per game | 12.9 | 12.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 82.5 | 70.5 | Jeanty +11.9 |
| Overall rank | #20 | #22 | Jeanty by 2 |
| Position rank | RB12 | RB14 | |
| Market ADP | 21.0 | 31.8 | Williams +10.8 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 2 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 13 | 11 |
Should I start Ashton Jeanty or Kyren Williams in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ashton Jeanty by 0.1 projected points (11.9 vs 11.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Ashton Jeanty or Kyren Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Ashton Jeanty. He projects 219.0 fantasy points with 82.5 value over replacement, vs 207.1 points and 70.5 for Kyren Williams (RB, PPR).