Alvin Kamara vs David Montgomery
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.0 projected points (10.2 vs 10.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alvin Kamara faces NYG, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. David Montgomery faces JAX, the 10th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 3.1 points of value over replacement (11.2 vs 8.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take David Montgomery first (ADP 52.0 vs 148.7). If the model is right, Alvin Kamara is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Alvin Kamara carries an injury flag of Questionable (Back), which is already reflected in his projection.
Health note: David Montgomery carries an injury flag of Out (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Alvin KamaraNOR | David MontgomeryHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | NYG | JAX | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 10.2 | 10.2 | Even |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 28) | #17 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 171.4 | 168.3 | Kamara +3.1 pts |
| Points per game | 10.1 | 9.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 11.2 | 8.1 | Kamara +3.1 |
| Overall rank | #58 | #60 | Kamara by 2 |
| Position rank | RB27 | RB28 | |
| Market ADP | 148.7 | 52.0 | Kamara +96.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | Rd 5 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 | |
| Injury flag | Questionable | Out |
Should I start Alvin Kamara or David Montgomery in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.0 projected points (10.2 vs 10.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or David Montgomery in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 171.4 fantasy points with 11.2 value over replacement, vs 168.3 points and 8.1 for David Montgomery (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.