Jaylen Waddle vs Alec Pierce

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

WR23
Jaylen Waddle
DEN · Bye 10
185.0
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
WR25
Alec Pierce
IND · Bye 13
170.3
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Jaylen Waddle: a clear but modest edge of 14.7 points of value over replacement (12.3 vs -2.4).

The draft market agrees: Jaylen Waddle goes first at ADP 45.2 vs 68.7 for Alec Pierce.

Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag of Questionable (Ankle), which is already reflected in his projection.

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Mock draft this pick
Jaylen WaddleDEN Alec PierceIND Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 185.0 170.3 Waddle +14.7 pts
Points per game 10.9 10.0
Value over replacement (VBD) 12.3 -2.4 Waddle +14.7
Overall rank #63 #75 Waddle by 12
Position rank WR23 WR25
Market ADP 45.2 68.7 Pierce +23.5 cheaper
Typical round (12-team) Rd 4 Rd 6
Bye week 10 13
Injury flag None Questionable

Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Alec Pierce in 2026 fantasy football?

Jaylen Waddle. He projects 185.0 fantasy points with 12.3 value over replacement, vs 170.3 points and -2.4 for Alec Pierce (WR, PPR).

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