Head to head · WR · 2026
Jaylen Waddle vs Alec Pierce
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jaylen Waddle
The model takes Jaylen Waddle: a clear but modest edge of 14.7 points of value over replacement (12.3 vs -2.4).
The draft market agrees: Jaylen Waddle goes first at ADP 42.9 vs 59.0 for Alec Pierce.
Health note: Alec Pierce carries an injury flag — Questionable (Ankle) — which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jaylen Waddle | Alec Pierce | |
|---|---|---|
| Team | DEN | IND |
| Overall rank | #62 | #74 |
| Position rank | WR23 | WR25 |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 185.0 | 170.3 |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 12.3 | -2.4 |
| Market ADP | 42.9 | 59.0 |
| Injury flag | — | Questionable |
Should I draft Jaylen Waddle or Alec Pierce in 2026 fantasy football?
Jaylen Waddle. He projects 185.0 fantasy points with 12.3 value over replacement, vs 170.3 points and -2.4 for Alec Pierce (WR, PPR).