Zonovan Knight vs Ray Davis
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.1 projected points (2.9 vs 2.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Ray Davis faces NE, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Zonovan Knight faces NYG, the 13th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Zonovan Knight ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Zonovan Knight by 1.9 points of value over replacement (-90.0 vs -91.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Zonovan KnightARI | Ray DavisBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NYG | NE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.8 | 2.9 | Davis +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #13 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 46.6 | 44.7 | Knight +1.9 pts |
| Points per game | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -90.0 | -91.8 | Knight +1.9 |
| Overall rank | #170 | #175 | Knight by 5 |
| Position rank | RB56 | RB59 | |
| Market ADP | - | 177.1 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 15 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 7 |
Should I start Zonovan Knight or Ray Davis in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Ray Davis by 0.1 projected points (2.9 vs 2.8), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Zonovan Knight or Ray Davis in 2026 fantasy football?
Zonovan Knight. He projects 46.6 fantasy points with -90.0 value over replacement, vs 44.7 points and -91.8 for Ray Davis (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.