Tyrone Tracy Jr. vs Michael Carter
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyrone Tracy Jr. by 0.7 projected points (3.1 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. faces ARI, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Michael Carter faces BAL, the 32nd-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tyrone Tracy Jr.: a clear but modest edge of 6.8 points of value over replacement (-81.3 vs -88.1).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG | Michael CarterTEN | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | ARI | BAL | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 3.1 | 2.4 | Jr. +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #22 | #32 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 55.3 | 48.5 | Jr. +6.8 pts |
| Points per game | 3.3 | 2.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -81.3 | -88.1 | Jr. +6.8 |
| Overall rank | #159 | #168 | Jr. by 9 |
| Position rank | RB51 | RB54 | |
| Market ADP | 162.3 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 9 |
Should I start Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Michael Carter in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Tyrone Tracy Jr. by 0.7 projected points (3.1 vs 2.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?
Tyrone Tracy Jr.. He projects 55.3 fantasy points with -81.3 value over replacement, vs 48.5 points and -88.1 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR).