Head to head · RB · 2026
Seth McGowan vs Michael Carter
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Seth McGowan
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Seth McGowan by 1.1 points of value over replacement (-85.3 vs -86.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Seth McGowan | Michael Carter | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | IND | TEN | |
| Overall rank | #191 | #195 | McGowan by 4 |
| Position rank | RB66 | RB69 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 44.4 | 43.3 | McGowan +1.1 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -85.3 | -86.4 | McGowan +1.1 |
| Market ADP | N/A | N/A |
Should I draft Seth McGowan or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?
Seth McGowan. He projects 44.4 fantasy points with -85.3 value over replacement, vs 43.3 points and -86.4 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.