Seth McGowan vs James Conner
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Seth McGowan by 0.7 points of value over replacement (-85.3 vs -86.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: James Conner carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Seth McGowan | James Conner | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | IND | ARI | |
| Overall rank | #191 | #192 | McGowan by 1 |
| Position rank | RB66 | RB67 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 44.4 | 43.7 | McGowan +0.7 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -85.3 | -86.0 | McGowan +0.7 |
| Market ADP | N/A | N/A | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Seth McGowan or James Conner in 2026 fantasy football?
Seth McGowan. He projects 44.4 fantasy points with -85.3 value over replacement, vs 43.7 points and -86.0 for James Conner (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.