Head to head · RB · 2026

James Conner vs Michael Carter

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

The model's pick
James Conner

This one is a coin flip. The model leans James Conner by 0.4 points of value over replacement (-86.0 vs -86.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.

The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.

Health note: James Conner carries an injury flag of Questionable (Foot), which is already reflected in his projection.

James Conner Michael Carter Edge
Team ARI TEN
Overall rank #192 #195 Conner by 3
Position rank RB67 RB69
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 43.7 43.3 Conner +0.4 pts
Value over replacement (VBD) -86.0 -86.4 Conner +0.4
Market ADP N/A N/A
Injury flag Questionable None

Should I draft James Conner or Michael Carter in 2026 fantasy football?

James Conner. He projects 43.7 fantasy points with -86.0 value over replacement, vs 43.3 points and -86.4 for Michael Carter (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.