Xavier Legette vs Keon Coleman
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.3 projected points (5.3 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Keon Coleman faces NE, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Xavier Legette faces DET, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Xavier Legette ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Xavier Legette by 2.7 points of value over replacement (-97.3 vs -100.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Xavier Legette carries an injury flag of Out (Knee), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Xavier LegetteCAR | Keon ColemanBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DET | NE | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.1 | 5.3 | Coleman +0.3 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #2 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 83.0 | 80.3 | Legette +2.7 pts |
| Points per game | 4.9 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -97.3 | -100.0 | Legette +2.7 |
| Overall rank | #195 | #200 | Legette by 5 |
| Position rank | WR73 | WR75 | |
| Market ADP | 191.0 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 16 | - | |
| Bye week | 5 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Xavier Legette or Keon Coleman in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.3 projected points (5.3 vs 5.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Xavier Legette or Keon Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
Xavier Legette. He projects 83.0 fantasy points with -97.3 value over replacement, vs 80.3 points and -100.0 for Keon Coleman (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.