Kayshon Boutte vs Keenan Allen
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Kayshon Boutte this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (7.0 vs 5.9).
Kayshon Boutte faces BUF, the 26th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Keenan Allen faces SEA, the 30th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Kayshon Boutte: a clear but modest edge of 10.3 points of value over replacement (-53.5 vs -63.8).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Keenan Allen first (ADP 139.4 vs 158.7). If the model is right, Kayshon Boutte is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Kayshon BoutteNWE | Keenan AllenLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | BUF | SEA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 7.0 | 5.9 | Boutte +1.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #26 | #30 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 126.8 | 116.5 | Boutte +10.3 pts |
| Points per game | 7.5 | 6.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -53.5 | -63.8 | Boutte +10.3 |
| Overall rank | #130 | #142 | Boutte by 12 |
| Position rank | WR57 | WR60 | |
| Market ADP | 158.7 | 139.4 | Boutte +19.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Should I start Kayshon Boutte or Keenan Allen in Week 4?
Start Kayshon Boutte this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.1 projected points (7.0 vs 5.9).
Should I draft Kayshon Boutte or Keenan Allen in 2026 fantasy football?
Kayshon Boutte. He projects 126.8 fantasy points with -53.5 value over replacement, vs 116.5 points and -63.8 for Keenan Allen (WR, PPR).