Pat Freiermuth vs Jake Ferguson
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.7 projected points (11.1 vs 10.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Pat Freiermuth faces TB, the 9th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week. Jake Ferguson faces GB, the 5th-friendliest matchup a TE can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Pat Freiermuth: a clear but modest edge of 14.4 points of value over replacement (-12.8 vs -27.2).
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | Jake FergusonDAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | TB | GB | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 11.1 | 10.4 | Freiermuth +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (TE vs defense, of 28) | #9 | #5 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 180.0 | 165.6 | Freiermuth +14.4 pts |
| Points per game | 10.6 | 9.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -12.8 | -27.2 | Freiermuth +14.4 |
| Overall rank | #90 | #108 | Freiermuth by 18 |
| Position rank | TE11 | TE14 | |
| Market ADP | - | 137.4 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 12 | |
| Bye week | 9 | 14 |
Should I start Pat Freiermuth or Jake Ferguson in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Pat Freiermuth by 0.7 projected points (11.1 vs 10.4), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Pat Freiermuth or Jake Ferguson in 2026 fantasy football?
Pat Freiermuth. He projects 180.0 fantasy points with -12.8 value over replacement, vs 165.6 points and -27.2 for Jake Ferguson (TE, PPR).