Jahan Dotson vs Keon Coleman
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.2 projected points (5.2 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Keon Coleman faces LA, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jahan Dotson faces BAL, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jahan Dotson ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jahan Dotson by 1.3 points of value over replacement (-98.8 vs -100.0), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jahan DotsonATL | Keon ColemanBUF | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | BAL | LA | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 5.0 | 5.2 | Coleman +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #11 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 81.5 | 80.3 | Dotson +1.3 pts |
| Points per game | 4.8 | 4.7 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -98.8 | -100.0 | Dotson +1.3 |
| Overall rank | #198 | #199 | Dotson by 1 |
| Position rank | WR73 | WR74 | |
| Market ADP | - | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | - | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Should I start Jahan Dotson or Keon Coleman in Week 5?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Keon Coleman by 0.2 projected points (5.2 vs 5.0), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jahan Dotson or Keon Coleman in 2026 fantasy football?
Jahan Dotson. He projects 81.5 fantasy points with -98.8 value over replacement, vs 80.3 points and -100.0 for Keon Coleman (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.