Head to head · RB · 2026

Nick Chubb vs Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean — refreshed every morning.

The model's pick
Nick Chubb

This one is a coin flip. The model leans Nick Chubb by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-33.4 vs -36.8) — close enough that your roster build should break the tie.

The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.

Nick Chubb Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Team HOU WAS
Overall rank #118 #122
Position rank RB43 RB45
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 98.6 95.2
Value over replacement (VBD) -33.4 -36.8
Market ADP 119.6

Should I draft Nick Chubb or Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 2026 fantasy football?

Nick Chubb. He projects 98.6 fantasy points with -33.4 value over replacement, vs 95.2 points and -36.8 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.