Nick Chubb vs Jacory Croskey-Merritt
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Nick Chubb by 3.4 points of value over replacement (-31.1 vs -34.5), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: Jacory Croskey-Merritt carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Nick ChubbHOU | Jacory Croskey-MerrittWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 98.6 | 95.2 | Chubb +3.4 pts |
| Points per game | 5.8 | 5.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -31.1 | -34.5 | Chubb +3.4 |
| Overall rank | #116 | #119 | Chubb by 3 |
| Position rank | RB43 | RB44 | |
| Market ADP | - | 115.6 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 7 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Nick Chubb or Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 2026 fantasy football?
Nick Chubb. He projects 98.6 fantasy points with -31.1 value over replacement, vs 95.2 points and -34.5 for Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.