Tetairoa McMillan vs Garrett Wilson
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Tetairoa McMillan this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (12.7 vs 11.2).
Tetairoa McMillan faces DET, the 11th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Garrett Wilson faces CHI, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Tetairoa McMillan: a clear but modest edge of 7.4 points of value over replacement (27.2 vs 19.8).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Garrett Wilson first (ADP 26.8 vs 31.5). If the model is right, Tetairoa McMillan is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Tetairoa McMillanCAR | Garrett WilsonNYJ | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | DET | CHI | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 12.7 | 11.2 | McMillan +1.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 207.5 | 200.1 | McMillan +7.4 pts |
| Points per game | 12.2 | 11.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 27.2 | 19.8 | McMillan +7.4 |
| Overall rank | #49 | #53 | McMillan by 4 |
| Position rank | WR17 | WR18 | |
| Market ADP | 31.5 | 26.8 | McMillan +4.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 3 | |
| Bye week | 5 | 13 |
Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or Garrett Wilson in Week 4?
Start Tetairoa McMillan this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.5 projected points (12.7 vs 11.2).
Should I draft Tetairoa McMillan or Garrett Wilson in 2026 fantasy football?
Tetairoa McMillan. He projects 207.5 fantasy points with 27.2 value over replacement, vs 200.1 points and 19.8 for Garrett Wilson (WR, PPR).