Emanuel Wilson vs Keaton Mitchell
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Emanuel Wilson by 0.6 projected points (2.8 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Emanuel Wilson faces LAC, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Keaton Mitchell faces SEA, the 29th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Emanuel Wilson by 1.0 points of value over replacement (-91.4 vs -92.4), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Emanuel WilsonSEA | Keaton MitchellLAC | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | LAC | SEA | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 2.8 | 2.2 | Wilson +0.6 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #11 | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 45.2 | 44.1 | Wilson +1.0 pts |
| Points per game | 2.7 | 2.6 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -91.4 | -92.4 | Wilson +1.0 |
| Overall rank | #174 | #177 | Wilson by 3 |
| Position rank | RB58 | RB61 | |
| Market ADP | - | 158.7 | |
| Typical round (12-team) | - | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 11 | 7 |
Should I start Emanuel Wilson or Keaton Mitchell in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Emanuel Wilson by 0.6 projected points (2.8 vs 2.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Emanuel Wilson or Keaton Mitchell in 2026 fantasy football?
Emanuel Wilson. He projects 45.2 fantasy points with -91.4 value over replacement, vs 44.1 points and -92.4 for Keaton Mitchell (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.