Javonte Williams vs D'Andre Swift
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Javonte Williams by 0.2 projected points (11.5 vs 11.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Javonte Williams faces BAL, the 17th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. D'Andre Swift faces PHI, the 11th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Javonte Williams: a clear but modest edge of 11.5 points of value over replacement (60.9 vs 49.4).
The draft market agrees: Javonte Williams goes first at ADP 31.1 vs 42.4 for D'Andre Swift.
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | D'Andre SwiftCHI | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BAL | PHI | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 11.5 | 11.3 | Williams +0.2 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #17 | #11 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 197.5 | 186.0 | Williams +11.5 pts |
| Points per game | 11.6 | 10.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | 60.9 | 49.4 | Williams +11.5 |
| Overall rank | #28 | #36 | Williams by 8 |
| Position rank | RB16 | RB19 | |
| Market ADP | 31.1 | 42.4 | Swift +11.3 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 3 | Rd 4 | |
| Bye week | 14 | 10 |
Should I start Javonte Williams or D'Andre Swift in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Javonte Williams by 0.2 projected points (11.5 vs 11.3), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Javonte Williams or D'Andre Swift in 2026 fantasy football?
Javonte Williams. He projects 197.5 fantasy points with 60.9 value over replacement, vs 186.0 points and 49.4 for D'Andre Swift (RB, PPR).