Keenan Allen vs Cooper Kupp
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cooper Kupp by 0.7 projected points (6.2 vs 5.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Cooper Kupp faces LAC, the 9th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Keenan Allen faces SEA, the 28th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Keenan Allen ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 4, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Keenan Allen by 0.8 points of value over replacement (-76.3 vs -77.2), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market agrees: Keenan Allen goes first at ADP 139.4 vs 160.4 for Cooper Kupp.
Health note: Keenan Allen carries an injury flag of Out (Groin), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Keenan AllenLAC | Cooper KuppSEA | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | SEA | LAC | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 5.5 | 6.2 | Kupp +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #28 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 102.1 | 101.3 | Allen +0.8 pts |
| Points per game | 6.0 | 6.0 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -76.3 | -77.2 | Allen +0.8 |
| Overall rank | #155 | #157 | Allen by 2 |
| Position rank | WR64 | WR65 | |
| Market ADP | 139.4 | 160.4 | Kupp +21.0 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Keenan Allen or Cooper Kupp in Week 4?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Cooper Kupp by 0.7 projected points (6.2 vs 5.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Keenan Allen or Cooper Kupp in 2026 fantasy football?
Keenan Allen. He projects 102.1 fantasy points with -76.3 value over replacement, vs 101.3 points and -77.2 for Cooper Kupp (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.