Keenan Allen vs Ja'Kobi Lane
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
Start Ja'Kobi Lane this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (7.2 vs 5.8).
Ja'Kobi Lane faces DAL, the 1st-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Keenan Allen faces BUF, the 29th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Keenan Allen ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 3, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Keenan Allen: a clear but modest edge of 6.3 points of value over replacement (-66.4 vs -72.7).
The draft market agrees: Keenan Allen goes first at ADP 139.4 vs 158.5 for Ja'Kobi Lane.
Health note: Ja'Kobi Lane carries an injury flag of IR (Wrist), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Keenan AllenLAC | Ja'Kobi LaneBAL | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | BUF | DAL | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 5.8 | 7.2 | Lane +1.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #29 | #1 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 112.0 | 105.7 | Allen +6.3 pts |
| Points per game | 6.6 | 6.2 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -66.4 | -72.7 | Allen +6.3 |
| Overall rank | #147 | #151 | Allen by 4 |
| Position rank | WR62 | WR64 | |
| Market ADP | 139.4 | 158.5 | Lane +19.1 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 12 | Rd 14 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 13 | |
| Injury flag | None | IR |
Should I start Keenan Allen or Ja'Kobi Lane in Week 3?
Start Ja'Kobi Lane this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.4 projected points (7.2 vs 5.8).
Should I draft Keenan Allen or Ja'Kobi Lane in 2026 fantasy football?
Keenan Allen. He projects 112.0 fantasy points with -66.4 value over replacement, vs 105.7 points and -72.7 for Ja'Kobi Lane (WR, PPR).