Quentin Johnston vs Chris Godwin
Who should you start in Week 5? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 5
Start Chris Godwin this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (8.9 vs 7.9).
Chris Godwin faces DAL, the 3rd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Quentin Johnston faces DEN, the 28th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Quentin Johnston ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 5, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Quentin Johnston: a clear but modest edge of 7.8 points of value over replacement (-32.5 vs -40.3).
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chris Godwin first (ADP 77.4 vs 91.1). If the model is right, Quentin Johnston is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
Health note: Quentin Johnston carries an injury flag of Out (Chest), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Quentin JohnstonLAC | Chris GodwinTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 5 opponent | DEN | DAL | |
| Projected Week 5 points | 7.9 | 8.9 | Godwin +1.0 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 30) | #28 | #3 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 145.5 | 137.7 | Johnston +7.8 pts |
| Points per game | 8.6 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -32.5 | -40.3 | Johnston +7.8 |
| Overall rank | #108 | #114 | Johnston by 6 |
| Position rank | WR45 | WR48 | |
| Market ADP | 91.1 | 77.4 | Johnston +13.7 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 8 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 | |
| Injury flag | Out | None |
Should I start Quentin Johnston or Chris Godwin in Week 5?
Start Chris Godwin this week: a clear but modest edge of 1.0 projected points (8.9 vs 7.9).
Should I draft Quentin Johnston or Chris Godwin in 2026 fantasy football?
Quentin Johnston. He projects 145.5 fantasy points with -32.5 value over replacement, vs 137.7 points and -40.3 for Chris Godwin (WR, PPR).