Chris Godwin vs KC Concepcion
Who should you start in Week 6? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 6
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Godwin by 0.5 projected points (8.0 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Chris Godwin faces PIT, the 22nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. KC Concepcion faces BAL, the 24th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
The model takes Chris Godwin: a clear but modest edge of 5.6 points of value over replacement (-40.7 vs -46.3).
The draft market agrees: Chris Godwin goes first at ADP 77.4 vs 118.6 for KC Concepcion.
Health note: KC Concepcion carries an injury flag of Questionable (Concussion), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Chris GodwinTAM | KC ConcepcionCLE | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 opponent | PIT | BAL | |
| Projected Week 6 points | 8.0 | 7.5 | Godwin +0.5 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #22 | #24 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 137.7 | 132.1 | Godwin +5.6 pts |
| Points per game | 8.1 | 7.8 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -40.7 | -46.3 | Godwin +5.6 |
| Overall rank | #117 | #122 | Godwin by 5 |
| Position rank | WR50 | WR53 | |
| Market ADP | 77.4 | 118.6 | Concepcion +41.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 7 | Rd 10 | |
| Bye week | 10 | 11 | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I start Chris Godwin or KC Concepcion in Week 6?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Chris Godwin by 0.5 projected points (8.0 vs 7.5), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Chris Godwin or KC Concepcion in 2026 fantasy football?
Chris Godwin. He projects 137.7 fantasy points with -40.7 value over replacement, vs 132.1 points and -46.3 for KC Concepcion (WR, PPR).