Khalil Shakir vs Chris Godwin
Who should you start in Week 4? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 4
Start Khalil Shakir this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (9.4 vs 7.1).
Khalil Shakir faces NE, the 2nd-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Chris Godwin faces GB, the 29th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Khalil Shakir by 4.2 points of value over replacement (-38.4 vs -42.6), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Chris Godwin first (ADP 77.4 vs 98.9). If the model is right, Khalil Shakir is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Khalil ShakirBUF | Chris GodwinTAM | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 4 opponent | NE | GB | |
| Projected Week 4 points | 9.4 | 7.1 | Shakir +2.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 32) | #2 | #29 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 141.9 | 137.7 | Shakir +4.2 pts |
| Points per game | 8.3 | 8.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -38.4 | -42.6 | Shakir +4.2 |
| Overall rank | #112 | #116 | Shakir by 4 |
| Position rank | WR47 | WR49 | |
| Market ADP | 98.9 | 77.4 | Shakir +21.5 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 9 | Rd 7 | |
| Bye week | 7 | 10 |
Should I start Khalil Shakir or Chris Godwin in Week 4?
Start Khalil Shakir this week: a clear but modest edge of 2.4 projected points (9.4 vs 7.1).
Should I draft Khalil Shakir or Chris Godwin in 2026 fantasy football?
Khalil Shakir. He projects 141.9 fantasy points with -38.4 value over replacement, vs 137.7 points and -42.6 for Chris Godwin (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.