Jalen Nailor vs Antonio Williams
Who should you start in Week 10? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 10
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Williams by 0.7 projected points (5.6 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Antonio Williams faces NYG, the 10th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week. Jalen Nailor faces SEA, the 26th-friendliest matchup a WR can draw this week.
Season-long, the model still ranks Jalen Nailor ahead. This is a matchup call for Week 10, not a change of heart about the rest of the year.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jalen Nailor by 3.7 points of value over replacement (-83.2 vs -86.8), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Jalen NailorLVR | Antonio WilliamsWAS | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 10 opponent | SEA | NYG | |
| Projected Week 10 points | 4.9 | 5.6 | Williams +0.7 pts |
| Matchup rank (WR vs defense, of 28) | #26 | #10 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 94.0 | 90.3 | Nailor +3.7 pts |
| Points per game | 5.5 | 5.3 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -83.2 | -86.8 | Nailor +3.7 |
| Overall rank | #169 | #174 | Nailor by 5 |
| Position rank | WR60 | WR62 | |
| Market ADP | 154.4 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 13 | 7 |
Should I start Jalen Nailor or Antonio Williams in Week 10?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Antonio Williams by 0.7 projected points (5.6 vs 4.9), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Jalen Nailor or Antonio Williams in 2026 fantasy football?
Jalen Nailor. He projects 94.0 fantasy points with -83.2 value over replacement, vs 90.3 points and -86.8 for Antonio Williams (WR, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.