Antonio Gibson vs Tyler Allgeier

Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.

RB49
Antonio Gibson
NWE · Bye 11
86.7
projected 2026 points (PPR)
The model's pick
VS
RB52
Tyler Allgeier
ARI · Bye 14
70.9
projected 2026 points (PPR)

The call

The model takes Antonio Gibson, and it isn't close: 15.8 points of value over replacement separate them (-46.9 vs -62.7).

The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.

Health note: Antonio Gibson carries an injury flag of Questionable (Knee - ACL), which is already reflected in his projection.

Would both make it back to your pick? The draft board simulates your whole room pick by pick, so you can see who is likely to still be there. Free, no signup.
Mock draft this pick
Antonio GibsonNWE Tyler AllgeierARI Edge
Projected 2026 points (PPR) 86.7 70.9 Gibson +15.8 pts
Points per game 5.1 4.2
Value over replacement (VBD) -46.9 -62.7 Gibson +15.8
Overall rank #130 #149 Gibson by 19
Position rank RB49 RB52
Market ADP - 155.6
Typical round (12-team) - Rd 13
Bye week 11 14
Injury flag Questionable None

Should I draft Antonio Gibson or Tyler Allgeier in 2026 fantasy football?

Antonio Gibson. He projects 86.7 fantasy points with -46.9 value over replacement, vs 70.9 points and -62.7 for Tyler Allgeier (RB, PPR).