Alvin Kamara vs Jawhar Jordan
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.1 projected points (3.2 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Alvin Kamara faces LV, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Jawhar Jordan faces IND, the 9th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 3.6 points of value over replacement (-83.1 vs -86.7), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
| Alvin KamaraNOR | Jawhar JordanHOU | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | LV | IND | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.2 | 3.1 | Kamara +0.1 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #12 | #9 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 53.4 | 49.8 | Kamara +3.6 pts |
| Points per game | 3.1 | 2.9 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -83.1 | -86.7 | Kamara +3.6 |
| Overall rank | #164 | #167 | Kamara by 3 |
| Position rank | RB52 | RB53 | |
| Market ADP | 148.7 | - | |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 13 | - | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Alvin Kamara or Jawhar Jordan in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Alvin Kamara by 0.1 projected points (3.2 vs 3.1), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Alvin Kamara or Jawhar Jordan in 2026 fantasy football?
Alvin Kamara. He projects 53.4 fantasy points with -83.1 value over replacement, vs 49.8 points and -86.7 for Jawhar Jordan (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.