Brian Robinson Jr. vs Alvin Kamara
Who should you start in Week 3? This week's matchups and projections.
Who to start in Week 3
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Robinson Jr. by 0.4 projected points (3.6 vs 3.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Brian Robinson Jr. faces ARI, the 6th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week. Alvin Kamara faces LV, the 12th-friendliest matchup a RB can draw this week.
This-week points are each player's projected per-game scoring rate adjusted for the matchup.
The season-long call
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Robinson Jr. by 3.1 points of value over replacement (-80.1 vs -83.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The room sees it the other way: drafters take Alvin Kamara first (ADP 148.7 vs 161.9). If the model is right, Brian Robinson Jr. is the value pick, since the later cost buys the better 2026 projection.
| Brian Robinson Jr.SFO | Alvin KamaraNOR | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 3 opponent | ARI | LV | |
| Projected Week 3 points | 3.6 | 3.2 | Jr. +0.4 pts |
| Matchup rank (RB vs defense, of 32) | #6 | #12 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 56.5 | 53.4 | Jr. +3.1 pts |
| Points per game | 3.3 | 3.1 | |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -80.1 | -83.1 | Jr. +3.1 |
| Overall rank | #157 | #164 | Jr. by 7 |
| Position rank | RB49 | RB52 | |
| Market ADP | 161.9 | 148.7 | Jr. +13.2 cheaper |
| Typical round (12-team) | Rd 14 | Rd 13 | |
| Bye week | 8 | 8 |
Should I start Brian Robinson Jr. or Alvin Kamara in Week 3?
This week is a coin flip. The model leans Brian Robinson Jr. by 0.4 projected points (3.6 vs 3.2), close enough that either call is defensible.
Should I draft Brian Robinson Jr. or Alvin Kamara in 2026 fantasy football?
Brian Robinson Jr.. He projects 56.5 fantasy points with -80.1 value over replacement, vs 53.4 points and -83.1 for Alvin Kamara (RB, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.