Head to head · TE · 2026
Jonnu Smith vs AJ Barner
Who should you draft in 2026 fantasy football? Our machine learning model's projections, value over replacement (VBD), and the draft market's lean, refreshed every morning.
The model's pick
Jonnu Smith
This one is a coin flip. The model leans Jonnu Smith by 3.8 points of value over replacement (-82.3 vs -86.1), close enough that your roster build should break the tie.
The draft market hasn't priced this matchup yet, so treat it as a pure model call.
Health note: AJ Barner carries an injury flag of Questionable (Undisclosed), which is already reflected in his projection.
| Jonnu Smith | AJ Barner | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team | PIT | SEA | |
| Overall rank | #183 | #194 | Smith by 11 |
| Position rank | TE27 | TE28 | |
| Projected 2026 points (PPR) | 90.4 | 86.6 | Smith +3.8 pts |
| Value over replacement (VBD) | -82.3 | -86.1 | Smith +3.8 |
| Market ADP | N/A | N/A | |
| Injury flag | None | Questionable |
Should I draft Jonnu Smith or AJ Barner in 2026 fantasy football?
Jonnu Smith. He projects 90.4 fantasy points with -82.3 value over replacement, vs 86.6 points and -86.1 for AJ Barner (TE, PPR). It's close enough to let roster needs decide.